I admit it;
sometimes I read the comments sections in articles and blog posts on
publishing and books. I know it's not good for me, but, you know, I
want to know what people think. In a lot of ways, my job as a
bookseller is all about what people think. The result is that stuff
builds up in my brain and I've got to get it out or, you know,
aneurism. So, in the interest of aneurism prevention I'm going to
write a couple of posts about what I see as fabricated conflicts in
books, phenomena presented in the media as conflicts, that, well
aren't. Or at least don't have to be. Part one, Self-publishing vs.
Traditional Publishing.
Why It's Not a
Conflict
First of all, I'm
not sure there is such a thing as “Traditional Publishing.”
Random House, a publishing company with hundreds of imprints,
thousands of titles, and is itself a division of a large German media
corporation, will have a very different business model from Two
Dollar Radio, a small family operation that focuses on innovative
literary fiction, which will have a very different business model
from Melville House, which publishes lost classics, international
mysteries, and experimental fiction, which will be different from a
non-profit publisher like Feminist Press, or a radical collectively
owned publisher like AK Press, or a publisher like Tupelo Press or
Alice James Press that uses contests to finance and select their
titles. Really, the only thing that unites all those different
publishers is the fact that they can say “no,” to a manuscript.
Given the diversity of the industry, the differences in goals, in
financial resources, in business models, I don't think all of them
are going to all be threatened by a single entity. Sure, some
publishers who can say “no” will be negatively effected by
changes in the market caused by the rise of self-publishing but
others won't.
Publishing and
self-publishing have pretty much always co-existed with various
degrees of influence on each other. Authors, like Walt Whitman for
example, have always published their own works. Others, like Marcel
Proust, have funded their own publication. Whether it's radical
innovators who can't find an initial market or people self-publishing
family histories, self-publishing has always existed along side
“traditional” publishing.
The only thing
that's changed is the ease with which authors can make their works
public. With digital technology authors can publish their books
essentially for free. The result is a massive amount of cheap,
self-published ebooks. At first glance, that looks like a dramatic
change in books, one that threatens the sustainability of publishing,
but this is not the first time readers have had inexpensive reading
options.
From the turn of the
century to the late 50s, pulp fiction flourished along side
“traditional” publishing. Cheaply written and cheaply produced,
with a price point that matched, pulp fiction was the $.99 ebook of
its day. Adding a $.99 ebook to your shopping cart now is exactly
like adding a $.10 pulp novel to the top of your shopping cart then.
The presence of cheap, other content didn't jeopardize publishing
because, even though both were reading materials, they didn't compete
for the same type of attention. If you're looking for a really good
book, a pulp novel was not an adequate substitute, nor will a really
good book sate an appetite for pulp fiction. Which is not to say
really good books were not written as pulp or self-published, but
that the initial purchase impulse is different.
In short,
“traditional” publishing and self-publishing have always
co-existed and, even with the cheap and free self-published content
now available, there's no reason why the two can't continue to
co-exist. So where does this idea of a winner-take-all,
battle-to-the-death, Highlander-there-can-be-only-one conflict come
from? Well in ascending order:
Media Love Conflict
Let's face it, you
will never see this headline anywhere; “Amicable Competition
Amongst Content Producers Results in Diverse Market.” Whenever
possible, media will present relationships as conflict. And it's not
hard to see why; whether it's publishing or politics, conflict is
interesting. Debate is more interesting than discussion, argument is
more entertaining than debate, and death-feuds are more exciting than
argument. Media compete for our attention and since conflict is more
likely to draw our attention than non-conflict, whenever possible,
media will frame an issue as conflict.
Issue Evangelists
There are writers,
bloggers, and commenters who do believe this is a fight to the death
and have chosen a side. Though I'd like to say, in the interest of
journalistic fairness, there are an equal number of evangelists on
both sides of this fabricated divide, I really haven't seen a
traditional publishing Konrath. If you read the comments, the skew
is even more dramatic. You'll have the occasional person hazarding a
suggestion that professional editing is worth something, but you've
generally got to weed through a lot of publishing-is-dead comments.
And even then, the traditional publishing defenders rarely show up
with pitchforks and battle cries. As with media's obsession with
conflict, it's not hard to see why there would be so many
self-publishing evangelists.
They're writers and
writers are narcissists. To be a writer, first you've got to believe
others want to hear all that noise in your head. Then you've got to
keep believing it while editors, agents, publishers, friends, and
family tell you they don't. Arrogance is the phytoplankton of
publishing. So it's not hard to see the progress to evangelism. The
noise in my head is awesome, traditional publishers rejected the
noise in my head, they are obsolete dinosaurs who are going to die
and go extinct and die. You have to think at least a version of that
just to keep going. But just because some writers who have chosen to
self-publish have also chosen to fill comment fields with
declarations of the death of other publishing doesn't make it so.
Amazon
You probably saw
this coming. How is Amazon the biggest contributor to this
fabricated conflict? Amazon creates scarcity in the ecosystem. Over
the last two decades or so, Amazon's business model has lead to there
being much, much less money in the publishing economy than before.
They've done so in two ways.
First, their
predatory pricing put a lot of bookstores out of business, and Amazon
does not create sales the way physical stores do. One might be
inclined to argue that Amazon's low prices increased the volume of
sales, but they didn't. Over the last twenty years or so, book sales
have been declining. There are a lot of reasons why, but one of them
is that Amazon simply cannot create sales the way a bookseller can.
Much like some of the other points I've made, I think it's easy to
see why book sales decline when book stores close. Though Amazon is
great at selling books readers already want, it is terrible at
selling books that readers don't know they want.
I don't care how
sophisticated, objective, or data-driven Amazon's “also bought”
algorithm is, I am way better at creating book sales than it is. I
can recommend a book I've never read, to a person I've never met,
based on the band on their t-shirt and a 10-second conversation, and
I can be right. (Hold Steady, kinda up for something dark, Nightmare Alley.) In short, algorithms don't understand body language. You
can't tell Amazon where you had lunch, what your favorite Saturday
morning cartoon was, or why you really like tennis and get a book
recommendation (though I'm sure it would like to know all of those
things). To put this another way, I can gather way more information
about a person in a few minute conversation than Amazon can ever
gather in a life-time of purchases, and I can make intuitive and
emotional connections between people and books that Amazon can't
make. So because of Amazon, there are fewer people like me making
those connections, fewer book sales, and thus, less money in the
publishing ecosystem.
To make matters
worse, because of its dominance in the market, Amazon also demands
increasingly better discounts from publishers. Whether through
perfectly legitimate discounts based on buying non-returnable and
good old fashioned bulk purchasing or the well-documented but somehow
not documented enough for the DOJ to care about, bullying of
publishers into more advantageous discount structures, Amazon now
pays less per book to publishers than they did ten years ago, and
much less than most other bookstores. This means that publishers now
get less per book for every Amazon sale. For producing the same
product, bearing roughly the same overhead and roughly the same
initial financial risk, publishers now make less money per sale than
they used to.
The cumulative
result is that, shockingly, books aren't making as much money as they
used to. To an economy, money is food, and just like in nature, when
food is scarce animals fight over it. So you have situations like
the one from awhile ago, where a “traditional” publisher canceled
a novel contract because the author self-published a few titles from
her backlist. Though the contract isn't public, once you're thinking
in terms of scarcity, the publisher's decision makes a fair amount of
sense. They were going to invest money in this book and did not want
to compete for the scarce resource of money with the author's other
books. Pretty simple.
Conclusion or Jesus,
He's Finally Done Talking
Great books will
slip through the cracks of “traditional” publishing and only
reach the reading public after being self-published by the author, as
they always have. “Traditional” publishers will nurture and
guide authors to long and successful writing careers, as they always
have. The only question about publishing and the relationship
between self-publishing and “traditional publishing” is whether
forces (Amazon, the DOJ) eventually force so much money out of the
market the whole ecosystem collapses. The conflict, then, is not
between self-publishing and traditional publishing, but between those
who value books and those who value market share.
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